New Industrial Policy Transforming Iran’s Economy

EghtesadOnline: The Industrial Development and Renovation Organization of Iran concluded landmark agreements with French automaker Renault and transportation giant Alstom as well as Russian logistics company Transmashholding in the summer.

News ID: ۷۴۳۷۰۲

06 September 2017

Under each of these new deals, a foreign multinational corporation has agreed to establish a new joint-venture company in Iran, in which the firm will be the majority shareholder.

In the cases of Renault and Alstom, each will control 60% of their respective joint ventures. Russia’s Transmashholding will own 80% of its new partnership; its higher shareholding perhaps explained by the fact that it is itself a state-owned enterprise.

This shift, in which state ownership in Iran is transitioning from an emphasis on industrial operation to financial shareholding, is highly significant. It represents a dramatic turn in the Iranian political economy and may act as one of the single most significant catalysts for Iran’s ability to attract foreign direct investment in a world of globalized capital, reads an article published by Al-Monitor. According to Financial Tribune, excerpts follow:

Prior to the lifting of nuclear-related sanctions under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, multinational companies seeking to manufacture in Iran were effectively required to work with a local operating partner.

The historical partnership between Peugeot and Iran Khodro as well as that between Siemens and MAPNA attest to this requirement of joint operation. In these arrangements, the foreign company brought Iran technology and financing, and the local partner brought political support, facilities and labor.

Iran’s market is large enough for enticing foreign companies to invest on these terms. As such, foreign direct investment accelerated as of mid-1990s. But this model necessarily led foreign companies to treat Iran as a secondary market.

Indeed, because they did not enjoy outright control over their investments in Iran, foreign multinationals did not invest proactively. The automobiles, rolling stock, industrial machinery and other output from these manufacturing partnerships were typically one or two generations old. Subsequently, Iran struggled to export its manufactured output, being limited to only regional markets.

As it charted a new path for Iran’s economy, the administration of President Hassan Rouhani sought to breach the limits of this approach. To encourage multinationals to treat Iran as a primary market, it was necessary to allow foreign control of the local entity and remove the requirement of an operating partnership with an Iranian industrial enterprise.

The new deals struck by IDRO show a new middle way. IDRO’s own company website outlines a progressive mission for state-owned enterprise: make “great efforts to privatize … affiliated companies” in part by “promotion of local and foreign investment … with minority holdings owned by IDRO [less than 50% of the shares]”.

Additionally, unlike partnerships created with the new Iran Petroleum Contract, a partnership with IDRO does not require a multinational company to have an operational partner. Through these processes, IDRO (in its own words) intends to “lessen its role as a holding company” and “turn into an industrial development agency”.

With the conclusion of the Renault, Alstom and Transmashholding contracts, these pledges are no longer just wishful thinking. Instead, they represent a clear path for Iran’s industrial policy.

Moreover, IDRO’s stated focus on supporting development with a “particular emphasis on new, hi-tech and export-oriented industries” is also reflected in the recent contracts. In the case of Renault, the unprecedented deal includes stipulations that the company establish a research and development center in Iran and earmark 30% of output for export.

In short, Renault will treat Iran as part of its global supply chain, defining a model of Iranian industrialization that treats globalization as a driver of revitalization.

Despite these significant developments and the strong evidence for the transformation underway, critics of economic engagement with Iran use a dated and inaccurate vision of Iranian state enterprise to advocate against trade and investment. They also fail to contextualize state ownership in Iran within the larger global history of the country’s political economy.

The move from active operation to passive shareholding as the defining feature of state ownership is one that has been witnessed in each region in which globalization has taken hold. The vestiges of this transition remain; passive state ownership of major industrial companies remains very common globally, and perhaps especially in Europe. Tellingly, the French state owns 19.74% of Renault.

If anything, IDRO’s recent successes are the harbinger of a potential transformation in Iran’s political economy that needs to be recognized and nurtured.

Iran deserves the opportunity to enact economic liberalization in measured steps and count upon foreign engagement and investment as key drivers of reform.