Oil Climbs as Iran, Iraq Signal Deal Hope Before Vienna Meeting

EghtesadOnline: Oil extended gains as Iran signaled optimism OPEC will agree to a supply-cut deal and Iraq said it will offer new proposals to help bolster the group’s unity before members meet next week in Vienna.

News ID: ۷۷۱۵۲۳

21 November 2016

Prices rose as much as 1.4 percent in New York, adding to its 5.3 percent gain last week. Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh said it’s “highly probable” members will reach a consensus, according to comments published by the country’s Shana news service. Iraq will offer new proposals at the OPEC meeting next week to help reach an agreement on production limits, Iraq Oil Minister Jabbar Al-Luaibi said in an e-mailed statement Monday, Bloomberg reported.

Oil has rebounded since hitting the lowest in almost two months last week as members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries began making reneweddiplomatic efforts before their meeting Nov. 30 to finalize the output deal informally agreed to in September. The group is seeking to trim output for the first time in eight years, a plan that has been complicated by Iran’s commitment to boost production and Iraq’s request for an exemption to help fund its war with Islamic militants.

“It’s pretty clear that some people are convinced in the market that this could lead to production cuts,” Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets in Sydney, said by phone. “The potential for breaches of any announced agreement is very high, but it is a solid move and it is coming on pretty reasonable volumes.”

West Texas Intermediate for December delivery, which expires Monday, rose as much as 66 cents to $46.35 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange and was at $46.24 at 3:07 p.m. in Hong Kong. Total volume traded was about 11 percent above the 100-day average. The more-active January contract added as much as 70 cents, or 1.5 percent, to $47.06 a barrel.

OPEC Optimism

Brent for January settlement gained as much as 68 cents, or 1.5 percent, to $47.54 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The contract closed at $46.86 a barrel on Friday, capping a 4.7 percent gain for the week. The global benchmark traded at a premium of 50 cents to January WTI.

It’s likely that OPEC producers will honor the output cut agreement and will try to put it into action, Iran’s Zanganeh said after meeting with OPEC’s secretary-general, Mohammed Barkindo, in Tehran on Saturday. Iraq’s “legitimate demands” shouldn’t be considered an obstacle to reaching a deal to freeze production, Al-Luaibi said.

Oil-market news:

Russian President Vladimir Putin said he sees no obstacles to OPEC reaching a pact later this month, and Russia is willing to freeze its crude oil output at current levels.

Money managers, producers and consumers made the biggest bets on WTI in nine years, amid signals more volatility is coming.

Oil drillers added the most rigs in 16 months amid growing confidence that crude prices will rise in coming months, according to Baker Hughes Inc. data reported Friday.