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Monthly Construction PMI Slips Below Threshold

Dec 8, 2021, 3:15 PM
News ID: 36097

EghtesadOnline: A new report by Iran Chamber of Cooperatives shows the monthly Purchasing Managers’ Index for the domestic construction sector has declined below the 50-mark.

PMI in the current Iranian year’s eighth month (Oct. 23-Nov. 21) settled at 42.8 from 56.92 in the preceding month (Sept. 23-Oct 22), indicating a 24.81% decrease.

PMI is an indicator of the health of economic sectors and provides information about current business conditions to decision-makers, analysts and purchasing managers. 

Raw material inventory, employment conditions, new orders, supplier deliveries and export/production conditions were among the criteria quizzed, yielding a final score of between 1 and 100. 

If a business scores 50, it means that no change has been perceived compared to the previous month, while scores higher or lower than 50 indicate that the business is booming or deteriorating respectively. 

The survey includes 12 questions about business conditions and any changes, whether it be improving, no changes or deteriorating. 

It is measured through a monthly survey sent to senior executives of 100 companies active in the real-estate sector. It is based on five major survey areas: "new orders" with a coefficient of 30%, "raw material inventory" (10%), "production" (25%), "supplier deliveries" (15%) and "employment" (20%).

The "new orders" sub-index stood at 40.07 in the month ending Nov. 21, indicating a 27.65% decrease compared with 55.39 of the month ending Oct. 22. 

The "supplier deliveries" sub-index, which measures how fast deliveries are made, decreased by 7.75% from 53.45 in the month ending Oct. 22 to 49.31 in the month ending Nov. 21. 

The "raw materials (construction materials) inventory" sub-index declined by 8.39% from 46.36 in the month ending Oct. 22 to 42.47 in the month leading to Nov. 21.

The "employment" sub-index decreased by 11.63% from 50.38 in the month ending Oct. 22 to 44.52 in the month ending Nov. 21. 

To calculate housing PMI, seven secondary criteria were also surveyed by ICC, including "raw material purchase prices", which stood at 72.69 in the month ending Oct. 22. The sub-index declined by 5.78% to stand at 68.49 in the month ending Nov. 21.  

"Warehouse inventory" decreased by 6.81% to reach 46.23 in the eighth Iranian month from 49.61 in the seventh month. 

The "exports" sub-index settled at 47.26 in the month ending Nov. 21 from 48.07 in the month ending Oct. 22, registering a 1.69% decrease. 

"Prices of products and services" increased by 4.17% to stand at 63.7 in the month ending Nov. 21 from 61.15 in the previous month. 

"Fuel consumption" decreased by 0.22% from 51.14 in the seventh Iranian month to 51.03 in the eighth month. 

"Sales" declined by 22.57% from 53.07 in the seventh month to 41.09 in the eighth month.

And, "performance expectations for the following month" sub-index settled at 39.38 in the month ending Nov. 21 from 45.38 in the month before, showing a 13.22% decline.